The Impending South Indian Population Implosion

By plan, South India is being prepared to make way for people from the North

The population of India is very high, and exploding. Correct? Correct. But is it exploding everywhere in India? Do steps need to be taken to curb population growth all over India? India is too big for anything to be true all over it, so think again.

As this startling graphic from the fertility report of the National Family Health Survey - 3 (2005-6) shows, all of South India is accelerating towards a population implosion, not a population explosion. That is, South Indians are being made to voluntarily reduce their fertility so much, that they are already unable to maintain the population of South India, which is already very low compared to North India.
Fertility basics

TFR stands for Total Fertility Rate, which is the number of children borne by a woman on average. For any population to remain constant, that is, neither increase nor decrease, a woman should bear 2 children on average, both of which must survive long enough to be counted.

So, a TFR of 2 is called replacement TFR, since 2 children simply replace their parents when the parents die. If the TFR is more than 2, it could lead to population explosion since the children not only replace their parents, but also top up. And finally, if TFR is less than 2, it could lead to population implosion, since there aren't sufficient children to even replace the parent generation.

I'm neglecting infant and maternal mortality rates, since they are so low (not from a worldwide perspective, but from the perspective of number of births) that they don't impact the analysis. Including these parameters sets replacement TFR at approximately 2.1.

The North is exploding, and the South is about to implode

The discussion about TFR above should convince the reader that the North is exploding, while the South is bracing itself for a big implosion.

Demographer of world renown, P N Mari Bhat, opines that the growing demographic imbalance due to the exploding north and the imploding south may trigger a serious regional conflict due to large migration from the north to the south. In India Vision 2020, a book published by the Planning Commission of India, he writes (italics mine):
[B]y the year 2020, population of north India would still be growing at a rate of 1.7 per cent per annum while the growth rate in South India would have fallen to 0.6 per cent. The advantages, the south would derive from its early demographic transition are thus obvious. But the regional demographic imbalances may induce large population movements from the north to the south. It remains to be seen whether this would develop into a serious regional conflict.
It's clear that Kannadigas, Tamils, Telugus, Malayalis and Marathis are already at a point where with every passing year, they're becoming less and less able to maintain their own populations. And there seems to be nothing to stop this.

It's not by accident, it's by plan

How can there be anything to stop this, when the Govt. of India, with the "force of a Nation" (to quote Rabindranath Tagore), is planning to bring the fertility rates of all the south below replacement levels, as this table from the 11th five-year plan (2007-2012) shows?


As per plan, in the path to bringing the whole of India to the replacement level of 2.1 by the year 2012, South India would have been brought well below replacement levels: Karnataka 1.8, Tamil Nadu 1.7, Kerala 1.7, Andhra Pradesh 1.8.

Sure, the plan to bring states below replacement level TFR is not limited to the south in the strict sense, because Haryana, J&K, Maharashtra, Punjab, WB (Delhi too, but it's population itself is to low to be counted in this list) are also planned to go below a TFR of 2.1. Note that these are all states which are home to languages other than Hindi.

But who shall prevail in India when India receives a pat on the back from the rest of the world for achieving a TFR of 2.1? It is the high-TFR states: Bihar at 3.0, Chhattisgarh at 2.4, Gujarat at 2.2, Jharkhand at 2.5, MP at 2.6, Rajasthan at 2.6, UP at 3.0. People in the Hindi-speaking states in this list (the Gujaratis at 2.2 are close to the replacement level of 2.1), who are multiplying at above-replacement TFR levels, shall prevail, while the low-TFR states (and therefore the whole of South India), would be accelerating towards a population implosion.

It will be worth mentioning that by plan (as quoted in the table on p.150 of the Karnataka Human Development Report 2005), Karnataka's TFR target for 2020 is way below replacement level, at 1.6.

Remember that none of this is happening naturally. It's all by government plan

Difficult questions

Now, what kind of a sane political system would plan for pulling South India's fertility to below replacement levels? What kind of an ethical political system would plan to reduce the fertility of all South Indians below replacement level just because North Indians are unable to get to replacement levels, and because India as a whole must achieve replacement level fertility a.s.a.p.?

Given that India needs to come down to replacement level fertility, why was it not planned to stop population control in South India once it reaches replacement level fertility? What is the guarantee that the north will ever go to replacement level fertility? As per plan, Bihar, UP, MP, Rajasthan, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Gujarat will be happily above replacement levels even when India as a whole reaches replacement level TFR anyway. And at that time, South India would be way below replacement levels.

Note, also, that TFR is not the entire story. If all the states were of the same population, it would be less of a demographic imbalance. But the fact is, that most of the population of India is also concentrated in the north, especially in the high-TFR states in the table above.

On the whole, the entire game of population control in India seems to have no logical endgame but more and more migration from the north to the south, together with a south unable to retain its already low population by reproduction.

What does all this mean for South India, and how must it protect itself against being unable to retain its population due to curbed reproduction and increasing migration from the north, in the wake of a Constitution which attaches a clear preference to Hindi, and one which is far from being federal? What must politicians in the south do? What must civilians in the south do?

These are difficult questions. And the clock is ticking. We must not only answer these questions, but start executing on the answers we get.

What Does the Rupee Symbol Symbolize?


Let it go into the annals of history that the Govt. of India had included the following exclusionist rule in the Rupee Symbol Design Contest Rules, blatantly, openly, discriminatorily, and in open defiance of the Constitution of India, while we were not looking:
The symbol has to be in the Indian National Language Script or a visual representation.
The problem in that rule, you ask? There is no Indian National Language Script. There is no Indian National Language. The Govt. of India has a sort of selective amnesia when it comes to the issue of a National Langauge. It comes and goes. When they wrote the rules of the game, it prevailed, and an Indian National Language and its script came to be (which one, you ask? Hindi, of course, and the script: Devanagari). Damn!

So, that's what the Rupee Symbolizes. You might as well read this forewarning, for what it's worth. Forewarn was all we could, sorry.

Lord Bhardwaj's Doctrine of Lapse, AD 2010

In colonial India, under the so-called Doctrine of Lapse, the British Government assumed for itself the power to annex princely states whose kings were perceived to be "manifestly incompetent" or "died without a direct heir".

Is anything different happening in free India?

The whole issue of illegal mining by the Government of Karnataka, Governor Hansraj Bhardwaj's extra-constitutional moves, and his eagerness to dissolve Karnataka's state government illustrates the flawed political system we have in place, its flaw being maintained by ignorant and scam-tainted politicians.

In summary, the situation in Karnataka is, firstly, that a corrupt state government is depleting precious natural resources of Karnataka in order to fill its coffers, and presumably to buy votes in future elections and more crowns for idols in neighboring states. Secondly, a representative from New Delhi, neither born in Karnataka, nor speaking its language, nor elected here, called the Governor of Karnataka, is going outside the already non-federal constitution and trying to transfer power from Bengaluru to New Delhi, on the grounds that the state government is corrupt.

While a corrupt state government is not a good thing to have, rule by others is not better; it's slavery. Why shouldn't the Consul General of the United States of America quote similar reasons and ask that power be transferred from New Delhi to Washington D.C.? There is no dearth of Reddy Brother Clones in New Delhi, is there? Clearly, transferring powers to others is not a solution to our problem of corrupt politicians in Karnataka.

The Governor should not assume the role of representative of a colonial government, always looking for reasons to dissolve our administration. In reality, the fact that the central government may take away power from the states at any time, without giving any explanation to anybody, makes the state government itself a highly subordinated entity, thereby attracting only mediocre politicians, and the central government equivalent to the Imperial Crown. And I'm not saying that to cover up our corrupt politicians.

What is the solution to the problem, then? This being a democracy, the solution is for the people of Karnataka to wake up and realize who the right people to sit in the Vidhana Soudha are. It is for the people of Karnataka to wake up and understand what they want out of Vidhana Soudha, and what they want out of the Parliament House in New Delhi.

Otherwise, the Parliament House in New Delhi will continue to decide what it wants out of Vidhana Soudha (or whether it's needed at all), and the Vidhana Soudha (if and when it is allowed to exist) to decide what it wants out of the people and land. And we know what they want out of the people and the land: they want our money (if their policies don't make us non-existent, that is), and the natural resources of our land: our minerals, our metals, our water, our air, our everything.

It's high time we Kannadigas stand up and tell Mr. Bhardwaj: "Yeah, our government is corrupt, and we will set it right, Mr. Hansraj Bhardwaj! Thanks for your interest in de-corrupting the administration in Karnataka, but we can do it ourselves; the problem is, when you try to poke your nose in these matters, we experience the pain of slavery!".

And turning to Mr. Yeddyurappa, we must say: "Mr. Yeddyurappa, it's high time you de-corrupt your government and start listening to us. Else, you will go".

Who let these gentlemen in?

Nearabouts the year 2000, the Baha Men stunned the world by asking a very simple and direct question:"Who let the dogs out?":


About ten years later, on July 9th, 2010, there was a big ruckus in the seat of power in Karnataka, the magnificent Vidhana Soudha, Bengaluru, about which the Deccan Herald reported the following:


Dontcha wanna ask a simple and direct question, something on the lines of "Who let these gentlemen in"?

Kannadigas must produce more children, not less.

Imagine ten men living in a house: the fat seven and the thin three.

Let's say the fat seven are very obese but still putting on weight: their fat and ugly bodies extend so much into the space of the thin three that the latter are being suffocated to death.

Now, imagine a doctor who prescribes that the thin three need to reduce their fat because the house, as a whole, is getting obese:

Now, go figure if the doctor's prescription is ethical, or even if it solves the problem at all.

In the end, if this doctor's prescription is followed, the thin three will be dead and the fat seven will continue to grow fat until it's no longer possible.

What will happen when it's no longer possible? They'll naturally cut down on their fat and realize the mistake. Eventually the house will realize its obesity problem and take steps to cure it.

But in the aftermath, the thin three would have been wiped out, removed from the face of the planet, their lands taken, their food taken, their everything taken by the fat seven.

***

Karnataka does NOT have a population problem. There are NOT too many Kannadigas on the face of this planet. Karnataka is NOT a densely populated state. See the statistics from censusindia.net below, and ask yourself what logic can prompt anyone to reduce the height of the first bar in each year --- the little light blue one, the one which belongs to Karnataka. What logic, other than the logic of suicide?


Also, Karnataka's population density is not high even from international standards - as the following graph shows (2006 data from Wikipedia). None of the other countries in this graph are asking their people to reduce their populations! In fact, some of them have tax incentives for producing more children!


***

This being the fact, dear Kannadigas, go forth and produce more and more and more and more children: not one, not two, not three, but at least four! The Govt. of Karnataka is utterly wrong! It is not concerned about your well being! It is concerned about only the well being of India as a whole, and is ignorant of who is creating the population problem in India!

If you are fooled by the Govt's propaganda, you will be wiped out from the face of this planet by the ugly and fat states of India which have a constitutional and political upper-hand, and which are sending their people to Karnataka in hordes because of being unable to contain them within themselves.

This is war by propaganda against Kannadigas. We must not commit suicide because of ignorant and unconcerned governments. Let us take a vow to produce more children, not less.

Further reading:

What not to learn from the Chinese
Leadership by elimination by disinformation

Who voted you to power, Mr. Yeddyurappa?

Chief Minister B. S. Yeddyurappa is quoted to have made the following remark at the recently held Global Investors Meet at Bengaluru:
I have a big dream for Karnataka, a Karnataka, that is peaceful, progressive and prosperous; Karnataka, that is free from illiteracy, illness and inequality; Karnataka, where every farmer or worker leads a life of dignity and respect; Karnataka, where every entrepreneur will have many ventures to start small, but grow big; and Karnataka, that is full of opportunities for every person to dream and realize that dream.
Read carefully. Does Mr. Yeddyurappa's dream display any special concern for Kannadigas, the native people of Karnataka? For all you know, a "peaceful,  progressive and prosperous" Karnataka can be created with all Kannadigas removed from the face of the planet, just like native Indians were removed from America. Sure enough, Karnataka can be freed from illiteracy by removing illiterate Kannadigas; Karnataka can be freed from illness by removing ill Kannadigas; Karnataka can be freed from inequality by removing unequal Kannadigas.

How then can all that be achieved if Kannadigas are removed? Simple: by inflowing immigrants. After all, the popular conception of an Indian refuses to see any difference between Kannadiga and (say) Hindi. So Karnataka, seen as real estate, can be made peaceful, progressive, prosperous, literate, healthy and equal by sheer immigration of Hindis from the North. After all, farmers, workers and entrepreneurs can be photographed or filmed to be happy in Karnataka even if they're not Kannadigas--they could well be Hindis!

Okay, my point is not that Mr. Yeddyurappa's objective is to remove Kannadigas from Karnataka. His effort to bring investment to Karnataka is certainly praiseworthy. I wish merely to point out that there is nothing in his stated dream which protects the interests of Kannadigas in the pursuit of peace, progress, prosperity, etc., in the real-estate called Karnataka. My concern is, of course, that when stated dreams and objectives miss the Kannadiga angle, it is often the case that the consequences are detrimental to Kannadigas, especially when Mr. Yeddyurappa's political party refuses to see any difference between Kannadigas and other Indians.

I would request Mr. Yeddyurappa to question himself whether it was Karnataka--the real estate--which voted his government to power, or whether Kannadigas--the people--voted it to power. If it should turn out to be the latter, it is the latter who should figure in his dream and not the former. People at the helm of affairs, more than anybody else, must be careful what they wish for; those wishes can actually come true.

You might argue that I'm making a mountain of a molehill; the point is, all mountains start as molehills, even mountains which consume entire an entire linguistic people.